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A Bitcoin Blunder for the Ages: $40 Billion Accidentally Given Away

An anonymous reader shares a report: The hundreds of prize payouts were mostly just a few bucks each, part of a promotional campaign by a South Korean cryptocurrency exchange. The total reward pot: 620,000 Korean won, or about $425. Then came a colossal mistake. A staffer for Bithumb, South Korea's No. 2 crypto exchange, didn't distribute 620,000 Korean won. Rather, the prizes, due to an input error, emerged in a different currency: 620,000 bitcoins, valued at more than $40 billion. That meant a winner who should have received a sum of 2,000 won -- enough to buy a cheap cup of coffee -- reaped, at least momentarily, more than $120 million in bitcoins. Enough recipients sought to sell or withdraw bitcoin that the market sank 17%, before Bithumb halted transactions after roughly 30 minutes. Those affected included investors who had held bitcoin before the botched giveaway. The losses totaled about $685,000, Bithumb says. The company has since said it has reversed the transactions or had recipients voluntarily return more than 99% of the misdistributed bitcoins. But Bithumb is still trying to convince users who during the brief window of trading managed to offload more than 100 bitcoins, valued at roughly $9 million, to give back the equivalent funds.

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Why This Is the Worst Crypto Winter Ever

🤖 AI Summary

**要約(日本語)**

ビットコインは10月の最高値から約44%下落し、過去最大のドローダウンではないものの、Bloomberg の「Odd Lots」ニュースレターは「史上最悪のクリプト・ウィンター」と評価している。以下が主な理由だ。

1. **マクロ環境はビットコイン有利と見込まれたが実際は金が安全資産として選好**
- ドルへの不信感やトランプ政権の仮想通貨友好政策、法定通貨のストレスがあるはずだったが、投資家は金を避難先にした。

2. **「まだ早い」神話は崩壊**
- 暗号ETF が登場し参入障壁が事実上ゼロに。
- 以前は価格下落時にホルダーを鼓舞したオンラインコミュニティも弱体化。

3. **機関投資家の採用は限定的**
- 機関の関心はビットコイン自体より、ステーブルコインやトークン化に集中。
- 主要トークン(ETH、SOL)への影響はほとんどなく、価格支援に至っていない。

4. **技術的・人的リソースのシフト**
- AI の台頭で優秀な人材やマイナーがデータセンターへ流れ、暗号資産への投資が相対的に減少。
- 量子コンピュータの進展がビットコインの暗号アルゴリズムに潜在的リスクをもたらす。

5. **ビットコイン保有企業のリスク**
- かつては積極的に購入していた MicroStrategy などの「ビットコイン財務」企業は、現在は大量保有者であり、価格が下落すれば売却を余儀なくされる可能性がある。

以上の要因が重なり、ビットコインは期待されたマクロ的追い風を受けられず、投資家心理・インフラ・技術面で厳しい局面に突入している。これが「史上最悪のクリプト・ウィンター」と呼ばれる根拠である。
Bitcoin has fallen roughly 44% from its October peak, and while the drawdown isn't crypto's deepest ever on a percentage basis, Bloomberg's Odd Lots newsletter lays out a case that this is the industry's worst winter yet. The macro backdrop was supposed to favor Bitcoin: public confidence in the dollar is shaky, the Trump administration has been crypto-friendly, and fiat currencies are under perceived stress globally. Yet gold, not Bitcoin, has been the safe haven of choice. The "we're so early" narrative is dead -- crypto ETFs exist, barriers to entry are zero, and the online community that once rallied holders through downturns has largely hollowed out. Institutional adoption arrived but hasn't lifted existing tokens like ETH or SOL; Wall Street cares about stablecoins and tokenization, not the coins themselves. AI is pulling both talent and miners toward data centers. Quantum computing advances threaten Bitcoin's encryption. And MicroStrategy and other Bitcoin treasury companies, once steady buyers during the bull run, are now large holders who may eventually become forced sellers.

Read more of this story at Slashdot.

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