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Rapid Snow Melt-Off In American West Stuns Scientists

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著者: BeauHD

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アメリカ西部の異常な暖かさが雪解けを一気に引き起こし、主要な流域は記録的な低水準に陥っている。コロラド州大学の気候学者、ルス・シュマカー博士は「今年は以前と全く異なるレベルだ」と述べており、「データが残されているどの年も著しく下回っているので非常に心配だ」と指摘した。

温暖化による異常な暖かさにより、3月に入り一気に雪解けが始まり、全米西部の多くの観測点で平均以下となる雪水相当量を記録。グレート・ベイサン地区は16%、ローラー・コロナ地区(アリゾナ州大半とネバダ州一部)は10%以下だった。

この異常な暖かさにより、3月に予想される雪不足を期待していた水管理当局や気候専門家たちは幻滅。3月に入り、西部の主要な流域全体で雪不足状態が見られ、91%の観測点で平均以下の雪水相当量を記録した。

温暖化の影響により、カリフォルニア州の山岳地帯での積雪量も記録的に低く、高地はまだ白いものの低地はほとんど裸地に。気候学者のデイビッド・スワイン博士によると、この異常な暖かさは「アメリカ南部西部で観測された最も統計的に異様な極端な暖かさ事象の一つ」であると指摘した。

温暖化の影響が雪解けに及ぼす影響が深刻であり、来年の西部の雪解け量は大半の地域で記録的低下となる可能性がある。
Scientists say extreme March heat caused an unusually rapid collapse of snowpack across the American West that's leaving major basins at record or near-record lows. "This year is on a whole other level," said Dr Russ Schumacher, a Colorado State University climatologist. "Seeing this year so far below any of the other years we have data for is very concerning." The Guardian reports: [...] The issue is extremely widespread. Data from a branch of the US Department of Agriculture (USDA), which logs averages based on levels between 1991 and 2020, shows states across the south-west and intermountain west with eye-popping lows. The Great Basin had only 16% of average on Monday and the lower Colorado region, which includes most of Arizona and parts of Nevada, was at 10%. The Rio Grande, which covers parts of New Mexico, Texas and Colorado, was at 8%. "This year has the potential of being way worse than any of the years we have analogues for in the past," Schumacher said. Even with near-normal precipitation across most of the west, every major river basin across the region was grappling with snow drought when March began, according to federal analysts. Roughly 91% of stations reported below-median snow water equivalent, according to the last federal snow drought update compiled on March 8. Water managers and climate experts had been hopeful for a March miracle -- a strong cold storm that could set the region on the right track. Instead, a blistering heatwave unlike any recorded for this time of year baked the region and spurred a rapid melt-off. "March is often a big month for snowstorms," Schumacher said. "Instead of getting snow we would normally expect we got this unprecedented, way-off-the-scale warmth." More than 1,500 monthly high temperature records were broken in March and hundreds more tied. The event was "likely among the most statistically anomalous extreme heat events ever observed in the American south-west," climate scientist Daniel Swain said in an analysis posted this week. "Beyond the conspicuous 'weirdness' of it all," Swain added, "the most consequential impact of our record-shattering March heat will likely be the decimation of the water year 2025-26 snowpack across nearly all of the American west." Calling the toll left by the heat "nothing short of shocking," Swain noted that California was tied for its worst mountain snowpack value on record. While the highest elevations are still coated in white, "lower slopes are now completely bare nearly statewide."

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