❌

リーディングビュー

How Will AI Change the Field of Mathematics?

🤖 AI Summary

AIは短い期間で数学分野でのプロフェッショナルなレベルに達したという話題です。AIは数式や数値が少ない学術的な論文ではまだ不十分ですが、他の領域では優れた成果を挙げています。これには古い手法を新しい方法に応用したり、異なる分野間のつながりを見つけ出す能力があります。

数学研究者たちは新たな分野への展開や新質問の提示を望んでいますが、AIはそういった役割を果たさないことが懸念されています。これが分野を停滞させる可能性があり、予想外で新しい発見がないかもしれません。

また、大学院生からは将来の研究者の立場が不安視されている声も聞かれました。AIの普及によって検査者にならざるを得ないのかという疑問もあります。

数学家の一部はAIによる論文の質疑応答の増加に対し懸念を示していますが、一方で才能ある大学生が大学院レベルの研究を行う例も報告されています。しかし、これらのツールを使うには高額なコストが伴うことも指摘されています。

結局のところ、適切に利用されるならばAIは数学分野全体にとってプラスになるでしょう。
"AI went from being very terrible to seemingly genuinely quite good at a professional level in a very short space of time..." says the Verge's AI reporter. But AI systems "are still truly, truly terrible at some areas of math... even the days of the week." If you look at academic math papers, a lot of the time you won't see numbers... So they're still terrible, but they're now also very good at this other part. As to why, at some point you reach a critical mass of what these systems can do. We saw it with writing, we've seen it with programming. They're very good at forging connections between different areas, applying old methods in new ways, those kinds of things. It appears that the newer models they're training have apparently reached that level where it clicks, and now it can do math... There are areas now where it seems to be producing work that is on par with good mathematicians, alongside other parts where yeah, it can't count. All caught up in that is whether it's going to rewrite employment structures or funding structures... One would hope [math researchers] would branch out into all of these new exciting areas or pose new questions. But AI won't do that, and that's the concern. And then that would leave the field quite sterile, and it will have all of these things that have been done, and maybe nothing left to pursue... [A] lot are scared that it's closing off the field. So by definition, those breakthroughs that lead to something surprising and new that you can say, "Oh, this works here," may not be happening anymore... There were some bleak responses from graduate students I saw in essays posted online. Where's their place in this as future researchers? Do they have a place in this? Is it as glorified AI proof checkers? That will be quite an unsatisfying career, I imagine. Or maybe not, I don't know. We will see. I think anything used properly will be a net boon. They also had an interesting response when asked if AI democratizes access to high-level mathematical proofs: A lot of the mathematicians I spoke to were almost quite weary of this, actually. They love the idea, in theory, of democratizing access. They're also quite fed up with AI-generated or -assisted papers that are flooding every publication imaginable, as well as the pre-print servers that they use in these fields. Some of those I spoke to said things like, "Oh, I got three emails this week alone with people being like, 'Hey, is this legit?'" Because they thought they'd solved something with ChatGPT or with Claude, and they also don't have the mathematical skills to check whether they've actually solved something. On the flip side, there are parts where they said, "Well, we've got a talented undergrad who's done something that a talented undergrad would probably have never managed, and here they are doing grad-level work and they've produced a paper that is legit." And in the bigger scheme of things, a few I spoke to said, "Well yeah, a lot of these are in the ivory tower. Having access to this kind of thing globally could really boost access to the kind of things here." On the flip side, the cost. These things cost a lot to run.

Read more of this story at Slashdot.

  •  

Is AI Really to Blame for High Unemployment Among Recent Graduates? What Economists Say

🤖 AI Summary

AIが新卒者の高失業率の主な原因ではないという議論を要約します。

1. 47%の新卒者がAIが就職に影響を与えたと回答した(ZipRecruiter調査)。
2. ニューヨーク連銀によると、新卒者の失業率は5.7%で全体平均より高い。エリック・ブライヌロフスカン(スタンフォード大学経済学者)は、「AIは全体の問題ではないが一部の理由」と指摘。
3. ブライヌロフスカンと彼の共著者は、2022年以降にソフトウェア開発者やマーケティング管理者などAI関連業界での若手労働者の雇用率が16%減少したことを報告している。
4. ダイビッド・ディンギング(ハーバード大学経済学者)は、AIが新卒者就職難の主な要因ではないという。リモートワークが主な理由だと主張し、新型コロナウイルス後のリモートワーク増加と若年新卒者の失業率上昇に因果関係がある。
5. アンダース・ヒュムルム(芝加哥大学経济学者)は、AIが入る企業は労働力を削減する傾向がないことを指摘。大規模なAI投資を行った会社でも新卒者の雇用が増加している。

これらの専門家の意見から、新卒者失業率の主な要因はAIではなく、リモートワークなどの他の経済的要因である可能性が高いという結論に達する。
47% of recent graduates say AI has already impacted hiring in their field, according to an April survey from ZipRecruiter. "But is AI really the problem, or is it more complicated?" asks NPR. "Here's what economists have to say." According to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, the unemployment rate for recent graduates — which it defines as 22-to-27-year-olds with a new bachelor's degree or higher — was 5.7% as of June, more than the rate for all workers, which stands at 4.1%... Stanford University economist Erik Brynjolfsson says AI is impacting the labor market for entry-level roles. "AI is not the whole story, but it's part of the story and the evidence is building," he says. Using payroll data, Brynjolfsson and his co-authors found that since late 2022 — when large language models like ChatGPT started popping up — early-career workers ages 22 to 25 in AI-exposed roles, like software developers and marketing managers, have experienced a 16% relative employment decline. In comparison, employment rates for older workers in AI-exposed fields and for all workers in jobs that aren't easily automated — like home health aides, physical therapists and construction workers — remained stable or have grown over that same time period... [Though he also says often when companies pull back on hiring, they cut junior roles first.] Harvard University economist David Deming isn't convinced that AI is to blame for the challenging early-career job market. "If you look very carefully at the timing, it looks like the decline in junior hiring actually started a bit like six months before ChatGPT was released. And so what that tells me is it's something else," Deming says. "I think it's more like remote work." A recent analysis from the New York Fed found that companies are less likely to hire recent college grads into roles that can be done remotely. As remote jobs increased following the COVID-19 pandemic, so did unemployment among younger college grads, the New York Fed found. The analysis also found that AI didn't explain the rise in unemployment among younger workers and that remote work was more of a driving force... Employers hiring for remote jobs may be less likely to choose an entry-level candidate because it's harder to train them from afar... [And with remote positions, there's many more senior candidates to choose from.] And here's another thing to consider: University of Chicago economist Anders Humlum says if AI were replacing entry-level jobs, you'd expect to see companies that rely heavily on AI to hire fewer workers. But that's not what the data shows. Humlum points to a study done by the financial accounting firm Ramp and the workforce research company Revelio Labs. The study examined AI spending and employee head count across more than 21,000 U.S. firms, from early 2021 to early 2026. It found that at companies making the largest AI investments, entry-level head count grew by 12% over the two years following AI adoption.

Read more of this story at Slashdot.

  •  
❌